Giouchtas vs Thyella D Rafina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.1%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
27.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-53%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
1º
10º
1º
42
1º
12º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
47 | 50 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 46 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
42 | 42 |
3º
|
60% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 40 |
4º
|
23.5% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
55.5% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 37 |
6º
|
18% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
45% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 37 |
8º
|
25.5% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 37 |
9º
|
28% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 36 |
10º
|
35% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 33 |
11º
|
70.5% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 32 |
12º
|
70.5% | |
|
13º
|
15 | 15 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 3 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Giouchtas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
KER
0 - 0
GIO
37%
25%
39%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
GIO
4 - 0
MOS
59%
21%
21%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2022 |
GIO
1 - 2
POR
62%
20%
18%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
AAO
2 - 2
GIO
51%
22%
27%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
GIO
1 - 1
FOS
51%
25%
24%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Thyella D Rafina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
RAF
2 - 1
POR
60%
21%
19%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
AAO
2 - 3
RAF
51%
23%
26%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2022 |
RAF
3 - 1
FOS
45%
27%
29%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | +2 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
AOT
0 - 1
RAF
13%
21%
67%
|
38 | 17 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
ASP
2 - 1
RAF
12%
21%
67%
|
40 | 16 | 24 | -2 |