Ginásio de Alcobaça vs Sourense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.3%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
11%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.9%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.6%
8.1%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ginásio de Alcobaça
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
POM
3 - 1
GDA
20%
23%
56%
|
55 | 36 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
GDA
1 - 2
PAM
76%
16%
9%
|
56 | 38 | 18 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
CRA
0 - 3
GDA
14%
21%
65%
|
55 | 21 | 34 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 1983 |
GDA
1 - 5
FCP
9%
20%
72%
|
54 | 88 | 34 | +1 |
| 29 May. 1983 |
MAR
3 - 0
GDA
61%
24%
15%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Sourense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
SOU
1 - 1
MAR
62%
20%
18%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
TOC
1 - 3
SOU
23%
23%
54%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
SOU
0 - 5
BEN
31%
25%
44%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | -2 |
| 23 Nov. 2003 |
FEL
2 - 0
SOU
78%
14%
8%
|
37 | 58 | 21 | 0 |