Ginásio de Alcobaça vs Caldas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.5%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
34.2%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ginásio de Alcobaça
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
BEN
1 - 1
GDA
20%
23%
57%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
GDA
2 - 1
MOR
75%
16%
10%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
OLI
1 - 2
GDA
49%
24%
28%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
GDA
1 - 3
POM
49%
23%
28%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Dec. 2012 |
CDT
3 - 2
GDA
20%
23%
58%
|
36 | 20 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
CAL
2 - 0
PEN
71%
18%
11%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
CAL
3 - 0
BEN
76%
16%
8%
|
39 | 21 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
MOR
2 - 1
CAL
15%
20%
66%
|
41 | 19 | 22 | -2 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
CAL
0 - 0
OLI
58%
23%
19%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2012 |
POM
1 - 2
CAL
41%
25%
34%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |