Primera División RFEF Group II Round 12

Gimnàstic Tarragona vs UCAM Murcia analysis

Gimnàstic Tarragona UCAM Murcia
59 ELO 53
7.8% Tilt -16.2%
1246º General ELO ranking 3155º
46º Country ELO ranking 96º
ELO win probability
63.9%
Gimnàstic Tarragona
21.2%
Draw
14.9%
UCAM Murcia

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.9%
Win probability
Gimnàstic Tarragona
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
14.9%
Win probability
UCAM Murcia
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Gimnàstic Tarragona
+6%
+1%
UCAM Murcia

ELO progression

Gimnàstic Tarragona
UCAM Murcia
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Gimnàstic Tarragona
Gimnàstic Tarragona
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Nov. 2021
SAN
San Fernando CD
2 - 0
Gimnàstic Tarragona
GIM
30%
28%
42%
60 51 9 0
31 Oct. 2021
SEV
Sevilla At.
0 - 0
Gimnàstic Tarragona
GIM
25%
28%
47%
60 49 11 0
24 Oct. 2021
GIM
Gimnàstic Tarragona
3 - 1
Linares Deportivo
LIN
66%
20%
13%
60 51 9 0
16 Oct. 2021
CAS
CD Castellón
1 - 1
Gimnàstic Tarragona
GIM
48%
28%
24%
60 62 2 0
09 Oct. 2021
GIM
Gimnàstic Tarragona
1 - 0
CE Sabadell
SAB
42%
27%
31%
59 63 4 +1

Matches

UCAM Murcia
UCAM Murcia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Nov. 2021
UCA
UCAM Murcia
1 - 2
At. Sanluqueño
SAN
57%
24%
19%
53 51 2 0
31 Oct. 2021
SAB
CE Sabadell
1 - 1
UCAM Murcia
UCA
61%
24%
15%
53 62 9 0
23 Oct. 2021
UCA
UCAM Murcia
2 - 1
Sevilla At.
SEV
51%
25%
24%
52 50 2 +1
15 Oct. 2021
ALC
Alcoyano
3 - 2
UCAM Murcia
UCA
43%
28%
30%
53 51 2 -1
09 Oct. 2021
UCA
UCAM Murcia
0 - 1
CD Castellón
CAS
32%
29%
39%
53 61 8 0