Gillingham vs Crewe Alexandra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.7%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.6%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
43.9%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gillingham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2007 |
GIL
2 - 2
BPO
32%
27%
41%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2007 |
SCU
3 - 1
GIL
65%
21%
14%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2007 |
GIL
0 - 1
BHA
44%
27%
29%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2007 |
NOR
1 - 1
GIL
42%
26%
32%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2007 |
GIL
1 - 0
BRA
45%
27%
28%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Crewe Alexandra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2007 |
CRE
1 - 1
BHA
67%
19%
14%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2007 |
CRE
1 - 3
SCU
50%
24%
26%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2007 |
HUR
1 - 2
CRE
40%
25%
35%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2007 |
CRE
2 - 1
DON
45%
24%
31%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2007 |
BRA
0 - 1
CRE
40%
25%
35%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |