Gillingham vs Colchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.5%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
18%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gillingham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2013 |
CRY
0 - 3
GIL
62%
21%
17%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
BUR
3 - 2
GIL
43%
26%
31%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
GIL
2 - 2
AFC
65%
21%
14%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
CHE
1 - 0
GIL
35%
28%
38%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
GIL
1 - 0
GUL
70%
20%
10%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Colchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
CUM
0 - 2
COL
62%
21%
17%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
COL
0 - 0
STF
43%
25%
32%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2013 |
COL
0 - 2
MKD
28%
26%
46%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
NOT
3 - 1
COL
60%
23%
17%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
COL
2 - 1
LEY
35%
27%
39%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | +1 |