Gillingham vs Accrington Stanley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.9%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
25.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+40%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gillingham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2008 |
DAR
1 - 2
GIL
56%
23%
20%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2008 |
GIL
0 - 1
LUT
39%
27%
34%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2008 |
GIL
0 - 1
COL
32%
25%
43%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2008 |
BOU
1 - 1
GIL
59%
22%
19%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2008 |
LEE
2 - 1
GIL
69%
19%
12%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Accrington Stanley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2008 |
STA
2 - 0
MAC
46%
26%
29%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2008 |
POR
0 - 2
STA
58%
22%
19%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | +2 |
| 12 Aug. 2008 |
WOL
3 - 2
STA
76%
16%
8%
|
49 | 75 | 26 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2008 |
STA
0 - 1
ALD
23%
24%
54%
|
49 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2008 |
STA
0 - 2
BCF
38%
27%
36%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | 0 |