3ª Andaluza Sevilla Round 12

Gilena C.F. vs UD Morón analysis

Gilena C.F. UD Morón
17 ELO 17
3.2% Tilt 6.5%
17943º General ELO ranking 14790º
5149º Country ELO ranking 3305º
ELO win probability
55.1%
Gilena C.F.
21.8%
Draw
23.2%
UD Morón

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.1%
Win probability
Gilena C.F.
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
23.1%
Win probability
UD Morón
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Gilena C.F.
+70%
+23%
UD Morón

ELO progression

Gilena C.F.
UD Morón
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Gilena C.F.
Gilena C.F.
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Dec. 2011
VIL
Villanueva S.Juan
3 - 4
Gilena C.F.
GIL
42%
23%
35%
17 15 2 0
27 Nov. 2011
ATL
Atletico Estepa
0 - 1
Gilena C.F.
GIL
25%
23%
52%
16 12 4 +1
20 Nov. 2011
GIL
Gilena C.F.
2 - 2
Corrales
COR
39%
23%
38%
16 18 2 0
13 Nov. 2011
LAJ
La Jara
1 - 1
Gilena C.F.
GIL
25%
23%
52%
17 12 5 -1
06 Nov. 2011
GIL
Gilena C.F.
3 - 0
Velez Rubio
VLZ
55%
21%
24%
16 14 2 +1

Matches

UD Morón
UD Morón
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Dec. 2011
MOR
UD Morón
4 - 1
Atletico Estepa
ATL
71%
17%
13%
15 11 4 0
27 Nov. 2011
COR
Corrales
2 - 1
UD Morón
MOR
61%
21%
19%
16 18 2 -1
20 Nov. 2011
MOR
UD Morón
1 - 1
La Jara
LAJ
72%
16%
12%
16 12 4 0
13 Nov. 2011
VLZ
Velez Rubio
2 - 0
UD Morón
MOR
30%
24%
46%
17 13 4 -1
06 Nov. 2011
MOR
UD Morón
4 - 1
El Tinte de Utrera
ELT
49%
22%
29%
16 17 1 +1