Gil Vicente vs Varzim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.8%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
25.8%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gil Vicente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
GFC
0 - 0
ACA
36%
26%
39%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
GFC
2 - 3
FAR
56%
25%
20%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
FEI
3 - 2
GFC
50%
26%
24%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
AVE
2 - 2
GFC
45%
27%
28%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
GFC
1 - 1
ACV
58%
24%
18%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
OLH
1 - 2
VAR
41%
27%
32%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2016 |
VAR
1 - 2
MOR
21%
24%
55%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
VAR
0 - 4
RIO
18%
24%
58%
|
61 | 79 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2016 |
VAR
2 - 1
POR
28%
26%
46%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
VAR
0 - 0
POR
31%
28%
41%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |