Giana Erminio vs Feralpisalò analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.7%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
33.9%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Giana Erminio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
PAD
0 - 2
GER
67%
21%
12%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
GER
2 - 1
USC
29%
28%
44%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
GER
0 - 3
USA
23%
26%
51%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
PRO
0 - 2
GER
25%
27%
49%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2016 |
GER
0 - 0
ABN
61%
22%
16%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Feralpisalò
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
FER
1 - 2
CTT
23%
26%
51%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
CUN
1 - 0
FER
20%
25%
56%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
POR
3 - 2
FER
45%
27%
28%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
FER
1 - 0
MAN
71%
19%
11%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
ACL
1 - 1
FER
29%
28%
44%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |