Third Division Malta Relegation Round Round 3

Gharghur vs Rabat Ajax analysis

Gharghur Rabat Ajax
39 ELO 30
2.6% Tilt -6.1%
7373º General ELO ranking 9093º
47º Country ELO ranking 48º
ELO win probability
67%
Gharghur
18%
Draw
14.9%
Rabat Ajax

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67%
Win probability
Gharghur
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
18%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
14.9%
Win probability
Rabat Ajax
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Gharghur
-32%
-72%
Rabat Ajax

ELO progression

Gharghur
Rabat Ajax
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Gharghur
Gharghur
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Mar. 2025
QOR
Qormi FC
4 - 1
Gharghur
GHA
63%
20%
17%
40 45 5 0
23 Feb. 2025
GHA
Gharghur
3 - 2
Marsaskala
MAR
31%
24%
45%
38 43 5 +2
14 Feb. 2025
GHA
Gharghur
1 - 2
Zejtun Corinthians FC
ZEJ
27%
24%
50%
39 47 8 -1
08 Feb. 2025
MSI
Msida St Joseph
0 - 1
Gharghur
GHA
31%
23%
46%
38 29 9 +1
02 Feb. 2025
GHA
Gharghur
1 - 3
Pembroke Athleta
PAT
35%
23%
42%
39 42 3 -1

Matches

Rabat Ajax
Rabat Ajax
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Mar. 2025
RAB
Rabat Ajax
0 - 7
Mellieha
MEL
21%
24%
55%
33 45 12 0
23 Feb. 2025
KIR
Kirkop United
2 - 2
Rabat Ajax
RAB
66%
18%
15%
33 40 7 0
15 Feb. 2025
PAT
Pembroke Athleta
2 - 0
Rabat Ajax
RAB
73%
15%
12%
34 42 8 -1
09 Feb. 2025
RAB
Rabat Ajax
3 - 5
Kirkop United
KIR
33%
23%
44%
35 40 5 -1
31 Jan. 2025
ZEJ
Zejtun Corinthians FC
4 - 0
Rabat Ajax
RAB
69%
18%
12%
36 46 10 -1