Third Division Malta Relegation Round Round 3

Gharghur vs Rabat Ajax analysis

Gharghur Rabat Ajax
40 ELO 31
0.5% Tilt -4.4%
6906º General ELO ranking 8440º
47º Country ELO ranking 48º
ELO win probability
65.6%
Gharghur
18.6%
Draw
15.8%
Rabat Ajax

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.6%
Win probability
Gharghur
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
15.8%
Win probability
Rabat Ajax
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Gharghur
-45%
-66%
Rabat Ajax

ELO progression

Gharghur
Rabat Ajax
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Gharghur
Gharghur
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Mar. 2025
QOR
Qormi FC
4 - 1
Gharghur
GHA
58%
22%
20%
41 44 3 0
23 Feb. 2025
GHA
Gharghur
3 - 2
Marsaskala
MAR
30%
24%
46%
39 45 6 +2
14 Feb. 2025
GHA
Gharghur
1 - 2
Zejtun Corinthians FC
ZEJ
22%
23%
55%
40 50 10 -1
08 Feb. 2025
MSI
Msida St Joseph
0 - 1
Gharghur
GHA
32%
23%
45%
39 30 9 +1
02 Feb. 2025
GHA
Gharghur
1 - 3
Pembroke Athleta
PAT
32%
23%
45%
40 44 4 -1

Matches

Rabat Ajax
Rabat Ajax
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Mar. 2025
RAB
Rabat Ajax
0 - 7
Mellieha
MEL
25%
24%
51%
34 45 11 0
23 Feb. 2025
KIR
Kirkop United
2 - 2
Rabat Ajax
RAB
60%
21%
20%
34 39 5 0
15 Feb. 2025
PAT
Pembroke Athleta
2 - 0
Rabat Ajax
RAB
71%
17%
12%
35 44 9 -1
09 Feb. 2025
RAB
Rabat Ajax
3 - 5
Kirkop United
KIR
40%
23%
37%
36 38 2 -1
31 Jan. 2025
ZEJ
Zejtun Corinthians FC
4 - 0
Rabat Ajax
RAB
72%
17%
11%
37 49 12 -1