Düren vs Deutz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
8.1%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.7%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.1%
51.9%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
5.3%
3-4
1.6%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
3%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
15.4%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-42%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Düren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
BER
5 - 3
DUR
69%
17%
14%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
DUR
3 - 0
MER
37%
21%
42%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
SPF
1 - 1
DUR
53%
21%
25%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
DUR
1 - 2
SIE
30%
22%
48%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2018 |
BFR
1 - 0
DUR
65%
18%
17%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Deutz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
SVD
1 - 1
VIA
61%
18%
20%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
BER
3 - 0
SVD
38%
21%
41%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
SVD
3 - 2
HUR
57%
19%
24%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
MER
0 - 2
SVD
41%
21%
39%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
SVD
4 - 1
ALT
48%
20%
32%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | +1 |