SD Gernika vs Peña Sport analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.7%
Win probability

1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
34.3%
Win probability

1.14
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →

-7%
+14%

ELO progression


Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Gernika

1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
26 Oct. 2002 |
NOJ
![]() 1 - 0
![]() GER
48%
26%
26%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
20 Oct. 2002 |
GER
![]() 0 - 3
![]() TAL
34%
29%
37%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -2 |
13 Oct. 2002 |
GIM
![]() 0 - 1
![]() GER
56%
25%
20%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
06 Oct. 2002 |
GER
![]() 2 - 0
![]() RAC
36%
29%
35%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | +2 |
29 Sep. 2002 |
ALA
![]() 1 - 0
![]() GER
57%
24%
19%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Peña Sport

1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
27 Oct. 2002 |
PEÑ
![]() 0 - 0
![]() ZAR
20%
28%
52%
|
39 | 57 | 18 | 0 |
19 Oct. 2002 |
NOJ
![]() 1 - 1
![]() PEÑ
50%
25%
26%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
12 Oct. 2002 |
PEÑ
![]() 1 - 0
![]() CDT
19%
28%
53%
|
38 | 57 | 19 | +1 |
06 Oct. 2002 |
TAL
![]() 4 - 1
![]() PEÑ
51%
26%
24%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | -1 |
29 Sep. 2002 |
PEÑ
![]() 0 - 2
![]() UBC
29%
28%
43%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | -1 |