SD Gernika vs Ordizia KE analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.4%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
14.2%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
AMU
2 - 2
GER
47%
26%
27%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
GER
2 - 0
SNT
58%
25%
17%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
EIB
1 - 1
GER
21%
26%
53%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
GER
1 - 0
ZAR
61%
23%
16%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2009 |
CDU
0 - 1
GER
35%
27%
38%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Ordizia KE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
BAS
3 - 0
ORD
73%
16%
11%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2009 |
ORD
1 - 1
AMU
20%
24%
56%
|
22 | 43 | 21 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
SNT
1 - 1
ORD
62%
21%
17%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
ORD
2 - 1
EIB
33%
27%
40%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | +2 |
| 17 Jan. 2009 |
ZAR
1 - 3
ORD
65%
20%
15%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | 0 |