SD Gernika vs Leioa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.5%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
28.2%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
POR
0 - 0
GER
57%
24%
19%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
GER
0 - 0
ELG
71%
19%
10%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
AMU
1 - 0
GER
25%
26%
49%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
GER
1 - 4
BAS
61%
22%
17%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | -2 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
ARE
0 - 0
GER
41%
26%
32%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Leioa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
LEI
3 - 2
BFC
30%
26%
44%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
RET
0 - 2
LEI
14%
23%
63%
|
34 | 18 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
LEI
2 - 2
OIA
60%
22%
17%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
ALA
4 - 2
LEI
35%
27%
39%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | -2 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
LEI
0 - 1
PAS
64%
21%
15%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | 0 |