SD Gernika vs Lealtad Villaviciosa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.2%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.8%
13%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
CAU
0 - 0
GER
14%
25%
61%
|
54 | 38 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
GER
1 - 0
BUR
56%
26%
18%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
SDA
1 - 2
GER
50%
25%
26%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
GER
0 - 0
BAR
43%
28%
29%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
CDV
1 - 0
GER
18%
25%
57%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Lealtad Villaviciosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
LEA
2 - 2
ARE
21%
26%
53%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
RUN
3 - 1
LEA
56%
24%
20%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
LEA
0 - 1
RSO
17%
25%
58%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
UDL
0 - 1
LEA
73%
18%
9%
|
41 | 58 | 17 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
LEA
0 - 0
TUD
17%
25%
58%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | +1 |