SD Gernika vs CD Lagun Onak analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.5%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.1%
8.5%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
PAS
2 - 0
GER
10%
19%
71%
|
41 | 20 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
GER
1 - 0
TOL
76%
16%
8%
|
41 | 21 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
CDV
2 - 0
GER
37%
27%
36%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | -2 |
| 04 Jan. 2020 |
CDU
1 - 3
GER
15%
21%
65%
|
42 | 24 | 18 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
GER
2 - 1
SFC
77%
16%
7%
|
42 | 24 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
CD Lagun Onak
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
LON
1 - 1
TOL
43%
26%
31%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
CDU
2 - 0
LON
49%
24%
27%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | -2 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
LON
0 - 0
SNT
49%
26%
25%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2020 |
LON
0 - 0
SES
14%
22%
65%
|
22 | 39 | 17 | +2 |
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
BFC
2 - 0
LON
59%
22%
19%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | -1 |