SD Gernika vs CD Lagun Onak analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.9%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
18.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.8%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
12.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
26.5%
15.6%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-47%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
CDU
1 - 1
GER
36%
30%
35%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
GER
1 - 0
BEA
38%
30%
32%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
BAS
1 - 1
GER
66%
21%
13%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
GER
1 - 0
SDA
56%
26%
18%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2004 |
RSO
1 - 1
GER
24%
26%
50%
|
40 | 22 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
CD Lagun Onak
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
BEA
1 - 0
LON
65%
22%
13%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
LON
0 - 1
SDA
57%
24%
19%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
ARE
2 - 0
LON
43%
29%
29%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | -2 |
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
LON
0 - 0
LAU
56%
22%
22%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2004 |
SDS
2 - 3
LON
24%
30%
46%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | +1 |