SD Gernika vs CD Hernani analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.5%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
20%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
13.6%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
ZAR
1 - 5
GER
17%
24%
59%
|
35 | 14 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
GER
1 - 2
ZAM
60%
23%
17%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
LEI
2 - 0
GER
38%
29%
34%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | -2 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
GER
1 - 0
EIB
61%
23%
16%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | +1 |
| 31 Dec. 2011 |
GER
2 - 0
CDV
66%
20%
14%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
CD Hernani
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
HER
1 - 0
BFC
41%
24%
35%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
BEA
2 - 1
HER
76%
15%
9%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
HER
0 - 5
ELG
46%
25%
29%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | -2 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
BAS
1 - 0
HER
70%
17%
13%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2011 |
LAU
5 - 0
HER
73%
17%
10%
|
25 | 40 | 15 | 0 |