SD Gernika vs Deusto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.4%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
14.2%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2021 |
GER
2 - 0
TOL
72%
18%
11%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2021 |
RSO
3 - 2
GER
26%
24%
50%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
SES
2 - 0
GER
31%
27%
43%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
BEA
0 - 1
GER
26%
24%
50%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
GER
5 - 0
BFC
66%
21%
14%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Deusto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2021 |
DEU
0 - 0
JUV
30%
25%
46%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
SFC
1 - 0
DEU
41%
26%
34%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Dec. 2020 |
TOL
2 - 0
DEU
29%
24%
47%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
DEU
1 - 1
RSO
29%
24%
47%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
DEU
2 - 1
SES
20%
23%
57%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | +2 |