SD Gernika vs CD Toledo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.7%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.5%
53.9%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
ARE
1 - 0
GER
50%
26%
24%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2015 |
GER
1 - 1
OSA
43%
28%
29%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2015 |
OSA
0 - 1
GER
47%
27%
26%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Jun. 2015 |
GER
3 - 0
JER
39%
30%
31%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 2015 |
JER
2 - 0
GER
43%
29%
29%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
CD Toledo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
CDT
0 - 2
BAR
45%
28%
28%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
CDT
1 - 0
UBC
61%
22%
17%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2015 |
CDT
0 - 2
LEG
17%
24%
60%
|
52 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2015 |
SEV
1 - 1
CDT
47%
25%
28%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
CDT
0 - 1
RMC
22%
27%
51%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | -1 |