SD Gernika vs CD Aurrera Vitoria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.5%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
16.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.7%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
11.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.2%
19.3%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
ZAL
1 - 1
GER
34%
30%
37%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
GER
1 - 0
ARE
52%
27%
20%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
BEA
0 - 0
GER
40%
28%
32%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
GER
2 - 1
ZAM
50%
28%
23%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
POR
3 - 2
GER
49%
26%
25%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
CD Aurrera Vitoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
AUR
0 - 1
LEM
25%
29%
46%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
LON
2 - 1
AUR
37%
29%
34%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
AUR
0 - 0
AUR
52%
28%
20%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
AUR
1 - 3
ZAL
46%
31%
24%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
ARE
1 - 0
AUR
35%
30%
35%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | -1 |