SD Gernika vs CD Aurrera Vitoria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.4%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.2%
41.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1996 |
LEM
0 - 1
GER
64%
22%
14%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1996 |
GER
1 - 2
CUL
29%
29%
42%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 1996 |
EIB
4 - 0
GER
70%
20%
10%
|
38 | 71 | 33 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 1996 |
ATH
4 - 1
GER
75%
16%
8%
|
38 | 64 | 26 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1996 |
GER
1 - 1
RUN
26%
28%
47%
|
38 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
CD Aurrera Vitoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1996 |
AUR
1 - 0
CLU
49%
27%
24%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1996 |
AUR
2 - 1
BAR
47%
28%
25%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 1996 |
LEM
0 - 1
AUR
50%
26%
24%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 1996 |
AUR
0 - 0
CUL
40%
28%
32%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1996 |
ATH
0 - 2
AUR
73%
17%
10%
|
44 | 65 | 21 | +2 |