SD Gernika vs SCD Durango analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
28.9%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
BEA
1 - 1
GER
53%
24%
23%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2010 |
LON
1 - 3
GER
44%
27%
29%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +1 |
| 31 Dec. 2009 |
GER
1 - 0
ZAL
61%
23%
17%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 2009 |
GER
2 - 0
LAU
50%
26%
24%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2009 |
SNT
1 - 2
GER
34%
28%
39%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
SCD Durango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
CDU
2 - 1
ZAL
64%
21%
15%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
LAU
0 - 2
CDU
36%
27%
38%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Dec. 2009 |
CDU
1 - 2
SNT
63%
22%
15%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2009 |
CDU
1 - 0
ARE
53%
25%
22%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2009 |
EIB
3 - 4
CDU
33%
27%
40%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | +1 |