SD Gernika vs CD Basconia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.7%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.6%
26.7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+81%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2006 |
EIB
1 - 2
GER
27%
29%
44%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2006 |
GER
2 - 0
ZAL
35%
29%
35%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | +2 |
| 18 Nov. 2006 |
TOL
1 - 1
GER
25%
29%
46%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2006 |
GER
4 - 2
REA
64%
23%
13%
|
42 | 25 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2006 |
ARE
1 - 3
GER
29%
30%
41%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
CD Basconia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2006 |
BAS
1 - 2
SFC
76%
16%
8%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2006 |
POR
1 - 0
BAS
57%
23%
20%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2006 |
BAS
2 - 2
LAU
69%
19%
12%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2006 |
UPV
0 - 3
BAS
15%
20%
65%
|
39 | 19 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2006 |
BAS
1 - 0
SAN
73%
17%
10%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | +1 |