SD Gernika vs CD Basconia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.1%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
18%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+64%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1975 |
GER
1 - 0
LUG
45%
28%
27%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1975 |
RCF
0 - 0
GER
67%
21%
12%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 May. 1975 |
GER
1 - 0
RCF
41%
29%
30%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | +2 |
| 18 May. 1975 |
CAU
1 - 0
GER
33%
26%
41%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | -1 |
| 11 May. 1975 |
ATH
2 - 2
GER
67%
20%
13%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
CD Basconia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1975 |
BAS
0 - 1
RCF
48%
29%
23%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1975 |
TUR
2 - 1
BAS
50%
28%
22%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 May. 1975 |
BAS
2 - 1
SPB
63%
23%
14%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 May. 1975 |
LEM
2 - 1
BAS
49%
29%
22%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1975 |
BAS
0 - 0
RCF
47%
29%
24%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | 0 |