SD Gernika vs CD Basconia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.9%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
31%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 1974 |
AST
1 - 1
GER
46%
24%
30%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1974 |
GER
1 - 2
CFP
37%
30%
34%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 1974 |
ENS
3 - 1
GER
69%
20%
11%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 1974 |
GER
2 - 1
UPL
32%
32%
36%
|
35 | 53 | 18 | +2 |
| 27 Oct. 1974 |
LUG
1 - 0
GER
72%
19%
10%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
CD Basconia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 1974 |
UPL
1 - 1
BAS
76%
17%
7%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1974 |
BAS
2 - 3
PON
33%
32%
35%
|
40 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1974 |
CLH
1 - 0
BAS
33%
25%
42%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 1974 |
UNI
3 - 1
BAS
25%
24%
51%
|
44 | 28 | 16 | -3 |
| 03 Nov. 1974 |
BAS
1 - 0
GRA
70%
21%
9%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | +1 |