SD Gernika vs SD Amorebieta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.7%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
12%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
15.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.5%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25.9%
18.4%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2004 |
RSO
1 - 1
GER
24%
26%
50%
|
40 | 22 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
GER
2 - 0
ARE
58%
26%
16%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | +1 |
| 30 May. 2004 |
GER
0 - 1
DAC
61%
25%
14%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | -2 |
| 23 May. 2004 |
LAU
1 - 0
GER
27%
27%
47%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
GER
1 - 0
UPV
69%
22%
10%
|
42 | 24 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
SD Amorebieta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2004 |
ARE
3 - 0
SDA
43%
27%
30%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
SDA
2 - 2
LAU
41%
27%
32%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2004 |
LEM
3 - 1
SDA
70%
19%
11%
|
33 | 47 | 14 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2004 |
SDA
0 - 0
LON
35%
31%
35%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
AUR
0 - 0
SDA
45%
29%
26%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | 0 |