Germania Teveren vs SC Fortuna Köln II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.2%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
9.5%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
16.7%
68%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
9%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
3.1%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.3%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
5.2%
2-5
1.6%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
13.8%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
2.7%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
7.9%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
3.8%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-54%
-21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
1º
15º
15º
36
6º
15º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 64 |
2º
|
83.5% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 62 |
3º
|
60% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 61 |
4º
|
62% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 58 |
5º
|
84% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 45 |
6º
|
97% | |
|
|
7º
|
36 | 42 |
7º
|
78.5% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 38 |
8º
|
39% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 38 |
9º
|
36% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 37 |
10º
|
17.5% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 36 |
11º
|
36.5% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 35 |
12º
|
47.5% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 27 |
13º
|
61.5% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 27 |
14º
|
63% | |
|
|
15º
|
18 | 21 |
15º
|
74% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 14 |
16º
|
76% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
2% | 97.5% |
|
Relegation
|
98% | 2.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Germania Teveren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
SPV
2 - 0
GET
36%
22%
42%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
GET
0 - 2
HUR
42%
22%
37%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
GET
3 - 3
FVE
77%
14%
9%
|
23 | 13 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
KON
3 - 0
GET
62%
19%
19%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | -2 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
GET
0 - 4
SVE
17%
18%
65%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | -2 |
Matches
SC Fortuna Köln II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
SCF
1 - 1
KON
60%
18%
21%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
SVE
2 - 4
SCF
59%
21%
21%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | +2 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
SCF
2 - 1
H05
26%
20%
53%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | +2 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
BSC
2 - 4
SCF
66%
18%
16%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | +2 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
SCF
1 - 1
BFR
63%
18%
19%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | -1 |