Genoa U16 vs Spezia U16 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.2%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
34.3%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-34%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
2º
5º
2º
26
4º
7º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
38 | 38 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
37 | 37 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
30 | 30 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 27 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 27 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
26 | 26 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 24 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 18 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
14 | 14 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 6 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa U16
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
GEN
1 - 2
JUV
7%
13%
80%
|
11 | 27 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
TOR
1 - 1
GEN
91%
7%
3%
|
10 | 26 | 16 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
GEN
4 - 3
CGL
56%
20%
24%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
CMO
1 - 1
GEN
46%
22%
32%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
GEN
4 - 3
SAM
47%
22%
31%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Spezia U16
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
SPZ
1 - 1
SAM
64%
18%
18%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
JUV
0 - 1
SPZ
90%
8%
3%
|
10 | 28 | 18 | +2 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
SPZ
2 - 1
CRM
53%
21%
27%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
TOR
3 - 1
SPZ
91%
7%
2%
|
10 | 26 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
SPZ
1 - 1
PAR
5%
12%
83%
|
9 | 24 | 15 | +1 |