RAEC Mons vs Excelsior Virton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.6%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
12%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
1º
6º
2º
44
1º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 49 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
46 | 46 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 31 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 31 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 24 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 23 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 22 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 20 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 20 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 9 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RAEC Mons
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
BIN
0 - 2
GEN
23%
26%
51%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2024 |
GEN
2 - 0
TOU
72%
18%
10%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
GEN
1 - 1
LOU
40%
23%
37%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
RCS
3 - 2
GEN
30%
28%
42%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
GEN
1 - 0
ROC
66%
20%
14%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Excelsior Virton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
EXC
0 - 2
OLY
31%
26%
43%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
SGI
1 - 2
EXC
36%
24%
41%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
EXC
1 - 0
STO
53%
24%
23%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
STL
1 - 2
EXC
46%
23%
30%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
HOK
3 - 1
EXC
16%
19%
66%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | -2 |