Q. Europa League Playoffs Final
Global 6-3
Genk vs Lech Poznań analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.1%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
12.8%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2025 |
LPO
1 - 5
GNK
24%
22%
54%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2025 |
LEU
1 - 2
GNK
36%
25%
39%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2025 |
SDL
2 - 1
GNK
29%
26%
45%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2025 |
GNK
1 - 1
ANT
49%
26%
25%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2025 |
GNK
6 - 0
EUP
70%
18%
12%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Lech Poznań
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2025 |
LPO
1 - 5
GNK
24%
22%
54%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2025 |
LPO
1 - 1
KOR
49%
25%
26%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2025 |
CRV
1 - 1
LPO
73%
15%
12%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2025 |
LPO
1 - 3
CRV
32%
23%
45%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2025 |
LPO
2 - 1
GÓR
45%
25%
31%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |