Genk vs Excelsior Mouscron analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.7%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
10.7%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2006 |
GNK
3 - 1
RWD
72%
19%
10%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2006 |
CHA
4 - 1
GNK
28%
25%
48%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2006 |
GNK
1 - 0
LOK
70%
19%
11%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2006 |
EXC
2 - 2
GNK
25%
24%
51%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2006 |
GNK
0 - 0
BRU
43%
25%
32%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior Mouscron
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2006 |
SDL
2 - 0
EXC
66%
21%
13%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2006 |
EXC
2 - 2
LIE
68%
20%
12%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2006 |
ZUL
0 - 0
EXC
56%
23%
20%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2006 |
EXC
2 - 2
GNK
25%
24%
51%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2006 |
CHA
1 - 0
EXC
48%
26%
26%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |