Gemert vs UDI '19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
15.3%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gemert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
DES
2 - 1
GEM
39%
24%
37%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2007 |
OJC
1 - 0
GEM
44%
24%
32%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2007 |
EVV
3 - 4
GEM
56%
21%
22%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2007 |
SCH
1 - 2
GEM
50%
23%
27%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2007 |
UNA
5 - 0
GEM
48%
24%
28%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
UDI '19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
UDI
1 - 2
BAR
35%
25%
40%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2008 |
PAP
1 - 1
UDI
68%
19%
14%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2007 |
DIJ
2 - 2
UDI
66%
19%
15%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2007 |
UDI
1 - 2
DES
40%
25%
35%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2007 |
UDI
0 - 2
UNA
32%
25%
43%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | -2 |