Gemert vs Lienden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.4%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.2%
3-0
9%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7%
2-2
4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.3%
10.3%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gemert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
GEM
4 - 1
HSC
56%
21%
23%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
QUI
4 - 1
GEM
46%
24%
31%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
GEM
1 - 1
HOO
75%
15%
10%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
GEM
3 - 0
OOS
28%
22%
50%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | +2 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
GRO
2 - 0
GEM
45%
24%
31%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Lienden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
LIE
1 - 0
QUI
13%
19%
68%
|
33 | 49 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
GRO
3 - 1
LIE
72%
18%
11%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
LIE
0 - 3
OOS
11%
18%
72%
|
35 | 53 | 18 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
LIE
1 - 1
ADO
20%
20%
60%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2020 |
LIE
1 - 3
ADO
27%
24%
49%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | -1 |