Gemert vs Dongen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.2%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
21.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gemert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
GEM
2 - 1
USV
64%
19%
18%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
HSC
3 - 0
GEM
45%
23%
32%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -2 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
GEM
3 - 2
QUI
54%
21%
25%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
ADO
2 - 2
GEM
46%
24%
30%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
GEM
1 - 1
BLA
41%
23%
36%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Dongen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
DON
4 - 1
LIE
55%
22%
23%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
GRO
1 - 1
DON
71%
18%
11%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
DON
0 - 1
HSC
40%
23%
37%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2019 |
DON
1 - 2
EXC
44%
24%
33%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
BLA
1 - 1
DON
64%
19%
17%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |