Gemert vs DESO analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.6%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.8%
10.2%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gemert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
EHC
0 - 2
GEM
46%
25%
30%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
GEM
1 - 1
HAL
64%
18%
18%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2016 |
EHC
1 - 3
GEM
53%
23%
23%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | +2 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
GEM
2 - 2
DOS
58%
21%
21%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
GEM
5 - 1
VLI
60%
21%
19%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
DESO
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
DES
0 - 0
RKA
48%
22%
30%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
GES
1 - 0
DES
55%
21%
25%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2016 |
DES
1 - 1
UDI
28%
23%
49%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
BAR
2 - 1
DES
39%
24%
38%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
DOS
0 - 0
DES
54%
22%
24%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |