Gemert vs Blauw Geel '38 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.5%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
49.3%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.4%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gemert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
RKA
0 - 3
GEM
37%
24%
39%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
GEM
1 - 3
NUE
48%
22%
30%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
QUI
1 - 0
GEM
64%
20%
16%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
GEM
1 - 0
IFC
49%
23%
29%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | +2 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
GRO
3 - 3
GEM
32%
24%
44%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Blauw Geel '38
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
BLA
3 - 2
QUI
43%
24%
33%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
GES
0 - 5
BLA
24%
20%
57%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
BLA
4 - 1
DOS
74%
16%
10%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
RKA
1 - 2
BLA
23%
22%
55%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | +2 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
BLA
0 - 0
DES
73%
17%
10%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | -1 |