Gemert vs Baronie analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.9%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
15.5%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-50%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gemert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
UDI
0 - 0
GEM
43%
24%
33%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
GEM
1 - 2
OSS
44%
24%
33%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
GRO
0 - 2
GEM
28%
24%
49%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
GEM
5 - 1
HAL
57%
22%
21%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
DON
2 - 0
GEM
45%
24%
32%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Baronie
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
BAR
3 - 0
TOP
66%
19%
15%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
BAR
3 - 1
UDI
21%
23%
56%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | +3 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
OSS
3 - 1
BAR
72%
17%
11%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
BAR
0 - 2
VLI
32%
25%
44%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | -2 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
HAL
2 - 3
BAR
63%
19%
18%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | +2 |