Gelbison vs Nocerina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.5%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
53%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-48%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gelbison
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
ISO
0 - 1
GEL
13%
19%
69%
|
32 | 15 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
GEL
1 - 1
PPI
82%
12%
6%
|
32 | 15 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
EBO
2 - 2
GEL
35%
24%
42%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
GEL
1 - 1
SAN
56%
22%
22%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2017 |
FCI
3 - 0
GEL
66%
20%
14%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
Nocerina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
NOC
1 - 0
CCI
79%
13%
8%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
ACI
2 - 2
NOC
19%
23%
57%
|
41 | 29 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
NOC
1 - 0
POR
84%
11%
5%
|
41 | 24 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
GEL
2 - 1
NOC
36%
26%
38%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2017 |
PPI
0 - 1
NOC
7%
14%
79%
|
42 | 16 | 26 | 0 |