Gelbison vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.9%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
42.1%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gelbison
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
LIC
1 - 0
GEL
57%
22%
21%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
GEL
0 - 0
CAV
23%
26%
51%
|
33 | 52 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
ASD
0 - 2
GEL
63%
20%
17%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | +2 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
GEL
3 - 1
FCS
35%
24%
40%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | +3 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
GEL
2 - 0
USV
53%
23%
24%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
MES
1 - 0
USV
76%
16%
8%
|
42 | 29 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
ACP
0 - 3
MES
41%
26%
33%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
MES
0 - 0
COM
75%
16%
10%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
COM
1 - 1
MES
28%
25%
47%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
MES
2 - 1
CIT
56%
23%
21%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | +1 |