Gelbison vs Matera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.1%
1-0
6%
2-1
6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.3%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
54%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gelbison
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
ANZ
1 - 2
GEL
30%
27%
43%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
GEL
0 - 1
ACD
51%
24%
25%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2024 |
ULD
1 - 0
GEL
23%
28%
49%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
GEL
2 - 2
ASI
61%
22%
17%
|
49 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
PUT
1 - 1
GEL
30%
28%
42%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Matera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
PAL
1 - 1
MAT
43%
25%
32%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
MAT
1 - 2
MAR
41%
26%
34%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2024 |
ACE
1 - 2
MAT
16%
21%
64%
|
54 | 17 | 37 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
MAT
1 - 2
VIR
43%
27%
30%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
ISC
1 - 2
MAT
25%
24%
51%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | 0 |