Gelbison vs Cittanova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.6%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
15.3%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gelbison
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
ACI
2 - 1
GEL
30%
27%
43%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
ASD
3 - 2
GEL
49%
22%
29%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | -2 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
GEL
1 - 2
RPO
44%
23%
33%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
FRA
3 - 1
GEL
48%
25%
28%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | -2 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
GEL
2 - 4
SSE
56%
23%
21%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Cittanova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
CCI
0 - 2
ASD
33%
22%
45%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
CCI
1 - 2
USV
21%
22%
57%
|
27 | 45 | 18 | -1 |