Gelbison vs ASD Sambiase analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.4%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
26.7%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+53%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gelbison
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
FCS
1 - 1
GEL
65%
20%
16%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
USV
2 - 0
GEL
41%
26%
33%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
GEL
3 - 2
ACP
40%
25%
35%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
COM
1 - 0
GEL
36%
25%
39%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
GEL
1 - 1
COM
45%
24%
31%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
ASD Sambiase
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
ASD
3 - 2
USV
50%
26%
25%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
ACP
2 - 0
ASD
53%
24%
23%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
ASD
1 - 0
COM
58%
22%
21%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
COM
0 - 1
ASD
58%
22%
20%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
ASD
1 - 2
CIT
38%
24%
38%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | -1 |