Gefle vs Örgryte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.2%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.4%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.9%
49.9%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.9%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gefle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1933 |
ORG
3 - 1
GEF
76%
14%
10%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1933 |
GEF
2 - 5
GAI
18%
18%
65%
|
65 | 82 | 17 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 1933 |
GAI
1 - 2
GEF
87%
8%
5%
|
64 | 82 | 18 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 1933 |
ISH
2 - 1
GEF
59%
20%
21%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 1933 |
GEF
2 - 1
AIK
27%
21%
53%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Örgryte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1933 |
ORG
3 - 1
GEF
76%
14%
10%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1933 |
HEL
2 - 1
ORG
65%
17%
18%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1933 |
ORG
4 - 3
ELF
72%
15%
14%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1933 |
SAN
1 - 3
ORG
39%
21%
40%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 1933 |
ORG
1 - 1
SAN
70%
16%
15%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | -1 |