Gefle vs IFK Malmö analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
20.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gefle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2003 |
SYL
0 - 2
GEF
37%
26%
37%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
GEF
4 - 1
CAF
36%
25%
39%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
KAL
4 - 1
GEF
63%
22%
15%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
GEF
1 - 2
TRE
32%
25%
43%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2003 |
BRO
1 - 2
GEF
49%
24%
26%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
IFK Malmö
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2003 |
MAL
2 - 2
BKF
60%
21%
19%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
FAL
0 - 1
MAL
49%
24%
26%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2003 |
MAL
1 - 0
VAS
41%
26%
33%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
BOD
1 - 0
MAL
48%
25%
28%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2003 |
MAL
1 - 1
ASS
43%
26%
31%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |