GE Bagé vs Rio Grande analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.2%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
31.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
GE Bagé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2008 |
CEF
1 - 1
GEB
23%
25%
53%
|
41 | 13 | 28 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
ECJ
0 - 0
GEB
35%
25%
40%
|
41 | 29 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2008 |
GEB
2 - 0
FAR
48%
24%
28%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
GEB
1 - 2
SAO
40%
25%
35%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2008 |
PEL
1 - 0
GEB
59%
22%
19%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Rio Grande
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2008 |
RIO
0 - 0
PEL
37%
27%
37%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2008 |
SAO
1 - 2
RIO
57%
23%
21%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2008 |
RIO
4 - 2
ECJ
58%
22%
20%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2008 |
RIO
1 - 0
FAR
44%
25%
31%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
CEF
1 - 3
RIO
22%
24%
55%
|
40 | 13 | 27 | +1 |