Gaucho 2 Round 4

GE Bagé vs Gramadense analysis

GE Bagé Gramadense
42 ELO 32
-15.5% Tilt -18.4%
6106º General ELO ranking 7201º
246º Country ELO ranking 163º
ELO win probability
49%
GE Bagé
22.5%
Draw
28.5%
Gramadense

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49%
Win probability
GE Bagé
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
28.5%
Win probability
Gramadense
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
GE Bagé
+26%
+107%
Gramadense

ELO progression

GE Bagé
Gramadense
Passo Fundo
Novo Hamburgo
Santa Cruz RS
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

GE Bagé
GE Bagé
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 May. 2025
RSC
Real SC
0 - 1
GE Bagé
GEB
19%
20%
61%
41 20 21 0
25 May. 2025
NOV
Novo Hamburgo
1 - 0
GE Bagé
GEB
73%
17%
10%
42 55 13 -1
10 Jul. 2024
SGA
São Gabriel
0 - 3
GE Bagé
GEB
23%
25%
52%
41 29 12 +1
07 Jul. 2024
GEB
GE Bagé
1 - 0
Inter Santa Maria
ISM
20%
24%
56%
39 50 11 +2
04 Jul. 2024
PEL
Pelotas
1 - 1
GE Bagé
GEB
55%
24%
21%
39 44 5 0

Matches

Gramadense
Gramadense
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 May. 2025
GRA
Gramadense
0 - 0
Inter Santa Maria
ISM
17%
21%
62%
31 49 18 0
18 May. 2025
GRA
Gramadense
0 - 0
Passo Fundo
PAS
21%
23%
57%
30 46 16 +1
26 Nov. 2023
GRA
Gramadense
0 - 1
Cruzeiro RS
CRU
35%
23%
42%
31 35 4 -1
19 Nov. 2023
CRU
Cruzeiro RS
1 - 0
Gramadense
GRA
37%
24%
40%
31 34 3 0
12 Nov. 2023
GRA
Gramadense
4 - 0
Ser Cruz Alta
SCA
71%
17%
12%
31 14 17 0