Joane vs Merelinense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.7%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
27.6%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+141%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Joane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
BRI
1 - 2
JOA
33%
24%
43%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
JOA
1 - 1
TAI
63%
20%
17%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
MAR
2 - 0
JOA
55%
22%
23%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
JOA
1 - 1
ARO
43%
24%
33%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
PDA
0 - 1
JOA
23%
22%
55%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Merelinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
MER
1 - 1
AGU
70%
17%
13%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 2
MER
47%
23%
30%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
MER
0 - 0
TDB
59%
21%
20%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
CEL
2 - 2
MER
18%
21%
61%
|
20 | 12 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
MER
4 - 3
CEL
72%
17%
12%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |