Joane vs Fafe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.3%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.8%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.2%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.5%
72.2%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
14.6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
15.1%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.1%
0-3
10.4%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
13.9%
0-4
5.4%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.8%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Joane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
JOA
0 - 1
SPC
9%
18%
73%
|
21 | 60 | 39 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
JOA
0 - 0
BAR
33%
23%
44%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
AMA
2 - 3
JOA
49%
22%
29%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
SER
2 - 1
JOA
47%
24%
30%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
JOA
1 - 0
AGU
64%
20%
17%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Fafe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
FAF
1 - 0
TOR
81%
14%
5%
|
51 | 34 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
FAF
1 - 2
FEL
60%
22%
18%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
MAR
1 - 1
FAF
11%
22%
67%
|
52 | 22 | 30 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
FAF
3 - 2
MON
74%
17%
9%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
FAF
0 - 1
FAM
37%
26%
36%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -1 |